Qualification · Qualification 65

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

120.59 – 449.67

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

82 – 481

Prediction correct · off by 35 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 262.1 ±15.6

2791Shaker Robotics

Season APEX 152Event APEX 91.95Rank 22Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 88

7903Tigers

Season APEX 38.8Event APEX 0.45Rank 59Record 0-8-0Status establishedConfidence 88

6806Mineola Wild Reds

Season APEX 71.3Event APEX 28.19Rank 40Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 86

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 690.5 ±13.7

2340Mercy Robotics-Xcentrics

Season APEX 199.9Event APEX 106.28Rank 24Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 89

1796RoboTigers

Season APEX 342.8Event APEX 264.51Rank 1Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

271Mechanical Marauders

Season APEX 147.8Event APEX 78.88Rank 31Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 89

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2791, 7903, 6806

/ 100 compat

Projected

120.6 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 2791, 7903, 6806

Auto

37.2 34%

Teleop

49.7 46%

Endgame

21.0 19%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2340, 1796, 271

/ 100 compat

Projected

449.7 pts

~2.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 2340, 1796, 271

Auto

59.1 13%

Teleop

243.2 55%

Endgame

137.0 31%

Strengths

· 1796 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.72 · Blue 2.83

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score120.6pts

Blue projected score449.7pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 67%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 19%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -329.1
Score range: 85–486
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 563 vs event baseline 202.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

262.1Season APEX690.5

37.2Auto59.1

49.7Teleop243.2

21Endgame137

57Consistency40

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	40	60
teleop	30	311
endgame	12	85
foul	0	25
total	82	481

Result

Final score

82 – 481

Prediction correct · off by 35 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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