Qualification · Qualification 64

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

140.98 – 161.67

44%56%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

75 – 239

Prediction correct · off by 71.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 361.1 ±16.2

9194Gemin√-1s

Season APEX 82.1Event APEX 21.91Rank 52Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 89

10582The Technochauns

Season APEX 129.2Event APEX 89.51Rank 42Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 85

5590Alumiboti

Season APEX 149.8Event APEX 29.56Rank 23Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 86

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 381 ±14.5

4601Circuit Birds

Season APEX 129.6Event APEX 60.35Rank 29Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 86

7605ASTRO

Season APEX 121.5Event APEX 21.13Rank 28Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 92

4121Viking Robotics

Season APEX 129.9Event APEX 80.19Rank 48Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9194, 10582, 5590

/ 100 compat

Projected

141 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 9194, 10582, 5590

Auto

36.8 29%

Teleop

57.3 45%

Endgame

34.1 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 71%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4601, 7605, 4121

/ 100 compat

Projected

161.7 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 4601, 7605, 4121

Auto

22.6 15%

Teleop

91.7 59%

Endgame

41.5 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 71%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.64 · Blue 1.85

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score141pts

Blue projected score161.7pts

Red win probability44%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 71%, blue 66%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -20.7
Score range: 104–199
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 314 vs event baseline 203.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

361.1Season APEX381

36.8Auto22.6

57.3Teleop91.7

34.1Endgame41.5

58Consistency56

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	34
teleop	36	174
endgame	24	31
foul	0	0
total	75	239

Result

Final score

75 – 239

Prediction correct · off by 71.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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