Qualification · Qualification 6
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
27.8 – 248.92
6%94%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
28 – 270
Prediction correct · off by 10.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 273 ±17.7
229Division By Zero
Provisional
Season APEX 74Event APEX -13.27Rank 54Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 70
Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 2.85Rank 58Record 1-7-0Status establishedConfidence 88
Season APEX 121.9Event APEX 38.22Rank 37Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 536.4 ±14.1
Season APEX 95.3Event APEX 25.13Rank 33Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 86
Season APEX 149.8Event APEX 16.35Rank 23Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 86
Season APEX 291.3Event APEX 207.44Rank 4Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 229, 533, 6621
7
/ 100 compatProjected
27.8 pts
~0.7 RP (regional)
Teams: 229, 533, 6621
Auto
28.0 97%
Teleop
-4.9 0%
Endgame
5.8 20%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 48%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4930, 5590, 870
65
/ 100 compatProjected
248.9 pts
~2.7 RP (regional)
Teams: 4930, 5590, 870
Auto
83.5 34%
Teleop
122.1 49%
Endgame
42.3 17%
Strengths
- · 870 anchors offense
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 48%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.65 · Blue 2.69
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score27.8pts
Blue projected score248.9pts
Red win probability6%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 48%, blue 71%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 8%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -221.1
- Score range
- -13–290
- Upset likelihood
- 6%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
273Season APEX536.4
28Auto83.5
-4.9Teleop122.1
5.8Endgame42.3
53Consistency36
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 14 | 93 |
| teleop | 14 | 137 |
| endgame | 0 | 40 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 28 | 270 |
Result
Final score
28 – 270
Prediction correct · off by 10.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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