Qualification · Qualification 58

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

218.29 – 187.36

60%40%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

251 – 146

Prediction correct · off by 37 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 486.8 ±12.4

6806Mineola Wild Reds

Season APEX 71.3Event APEX 26.33Rank 40Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 86

287Floyd Robotics

Season APEX 242.6Event APEX 118.8Rank 9Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1880Warriors of East Harlem

Season APEX 172.9Event APEX 73.16Rank 6Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 401.5 ±15

3624Soaring Colts

Season APEX 111.8Event APEX 6.26Rank 49Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 88

10202NOVATRON

Season APEX 137.7Event APEX 85.06Rank 25Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2791Shaker Robotics

Season APEX 152Event APEX 96.04Rank 22Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 88

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6806, 287, 1880

/ 100 compat

Projected

218.3 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 6806, 287, 1880

Auto

32.6 16%

Teleop

137.3 65%

Endgame

40.1 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3624, 10202, 2791

/ 100 compat

Projected

187.4 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 3624, 10202, 2791

Auto

26.2 14%

Teleop

131.5 72%

Endgame

25.2 14%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.89 · Blue 1.54

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score218.3pts

Blue projected score187.4pts

Red win probability60%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 65%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 30.9
Score range: 150–255
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 397 vs event baseline 206.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

486.8Season APEX401.5

32.6Auto26.2

137.3Teleop131.5

40.1Endgame25.2

103Consistency54

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	43	68
teleop	140	61
endgame	38	17
foul	30	0
total	251	146

Result

Final score

251 – 146

Prediction correct · off by 37 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.