Qualification · Qualification 57

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

48.84 – 177.36

17%83%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

58 – 198

Prediction correct · off by 14.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 230.3 ±15.6

250The Dynamos

Season APEX 43.7Event APEX -23.31Rank 60Record 0-8-0Status establishedConfidence 88

271Mechanical Marauders

Season APEX 147.8Event APEX 66.69Rank 31Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 89

7903Tigers

Season APEX 38.8Event APEX 5.46Rank 59Record 0-8-0Status establishedConfidence 88

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 464.4 ±15

7605ASTRO

Season APEX 121.5Event APEX 15.46Rank 28Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 92

1405Finney Falcons

Season APEX 188.4Event APEX 144.6Rank 5Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 95

7759Bulldog Bytes

Season APEX 154.5Event APEX 17.3Rank 15Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 88

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 250, 271, 7903

/ 100 compat

Projected

48.8 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 250, 271, 7903

Auto

2.2 6%

Teleop

13.1 33%

Endgame

23.9 61%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7605, 1405, 7759

/ 100 compat

Projected

177.4 pts

~2.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 7605, 1405, 7759

Auto

18.7 11%

Teleop

102.5 60%

Endgame

48.5 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.84 · Blue 2.49

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score48.8pts

Blue projected score177.4pts

Red win probability17%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 68%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 12%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -128.5
Score range: 12–214
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 256 vs event baseline 208.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

230.3Season APEX464.4

2.2Auto18.7

13.1Teleop102.5

23.9Endgame48.5

79Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	37
teleop	22	152
endgame	24	9
foul	0	0
total	58	198

Result

Final score

58 – 198

Prediction correct · off by 14.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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