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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.
FRCinsights
New York Tech Valley Regional

Qualification · Qualification 51

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

515.56 – 218.7

98%2%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

437 – 269

Prediction correct · off by 64.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 783.7 ±11
870TEAM R. I. C. E.
A
Season APEX 291.3Event APEX 237.73Rank 4Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
4122Ossining OBOTS
A
Season APEX 233.2Event APEX 156.34Rank 12Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
3044Team 0xBE4
A
Season APEX 259.2Event APEX 121.49Rank 2Record 8-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 473 ±13.9
5881TVHS Dragons
C
Season APEX 90.8Event APEX 30.37Rank 44Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 91
263Aftershock
B
Season APEX 175.6Event APEX 59.63Rank 41Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
1591Greece Gladiators
B
Season APEX 206.6Event APEX 128.7Rank 7Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 94

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 870, 4122, 3044
84
/ 100 compat
Projected
515.6 pts
~2.8 RP (regional)
Teams: 870, 4122, 3044
Auto
96.0 19%
Teleop
293.0 57%
Endgame
124.8 24%
Strengths
  • · 870 anchors offense
  • · Well-balanced across phases
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 71%
Supercharged: 15%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5881, 263, 1591
66
/ 100 compat
Projected
218.7 pts
~0.7 RP (regional)
Teams: 5881, 263, 1591
Auto
41.3 19%
Teleop
120.2 57%
Endgame
50.6 24%
Strengths
  • · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 71%
Supercharged: 15%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.84 · Blue 0.73
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score515.6pts
Blue projected score218.7pts
Red win probability98%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 71%, blue 62%
Supercharged bonusred 15%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
296.9
Score range
182–553
Upset likelihood
2%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 706 vs event baseline 203.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

783.7Season APEX473
96Auto41.3
293Teleop120.2
124.8Endgame50.6
49Consistency37

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto11958
teleop215134
endgame10377
foul00
total437269

Result

Final score

437 – 269

Prediction correct · off by 64.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

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