Qualification · Qualification 49

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

51.73 – 56.3

49%51%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

87 – 75

Prediction missed · off by 27 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 294.8 ±14.5

11010Bobcats

Season APEX 69Event APEX 12.91Rank 38Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6806Mineola Wild Reds

Season APEX 71.3Event APEX 25.09Rank 40Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 86

7759Bulldog Bytes

Season APEX 154.5Event APEX 13.73Rank 15Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 88

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 272.1 ±15

5016Huntington Robotics

Season APEX 114.2Event APEX 39.95Rank 36Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 92

533The PSIcotics

Season APEX 77.1Event APEX -18.94Rank 58Record 1-7-0Status establishedConfidence 88

6648MechaSpartans

Season APEX 80.8Event APEX 35.29Rank 35Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 95

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11010, 6806, 7759

/ 100 compat

Projected

51.7 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 11010, 6806, 7759

Auto

-0.2 0%

Teleop

43.4 96%

Endgame

1.9 4%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5016, 533, 6648

/ 100 compat

Projected

56.3 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 5016, 533, 6648

Auto

11.9 22%

Teleop

35.9 67%

Endgame

6.1 11%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.7 · Blue 1.63

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score51.7pts

Blue projected score56.3pts

Red win probability49%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -4.6
Score range: 15–93
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 162 vs event baseline 207.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

294.8Season APEX272.1

-0.2Auto11.9

43.4Teleop35.9

1.9Endgame6.1

113Consistency118

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	37
teleop	36	12
endgame	1	26
foul	30	0
total	87	75

Result

Final score

87 – 75

Prediction missed · off by 27 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.