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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

26.3585.45

32%68%
Actual result
Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

96107

Prediction correct · off by 45.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 215.3 ±15
Season APEX 97Event APEX 22.33Rank 34Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 95
Season APEX 43.7Event APEX -32.13Rank 60Record 0-8-0Status establishedConfidence 88
Season APEX 74.6Event APEX 36.15Rank 53Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 86
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 339.8 ±15.6
Season APEX 152Event APEX 85.08Rank 22Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 88
Season APEX 122.8Event APEX 23.86Rank 32Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 86
Season APEX 65Event APEX -23.49Rank 51Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 88

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8222, 250, 3171
30
/ 100 compat
Projected
26.3 pts
~1.1 RP (regional)
Teams: 8222, 250, 3171
Auto
7.6 30%
Teleop
10.8 42%
Endgame
7.3 28%
Strengths
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2791, 677, 6463
32
/ 100 compat
Projected
85.5 pts
~2.1 RP (regional)
Teams: 2791, 677, 6463
Auto
22.2 26%
Teleop
60.5 72%
Endgame
1.7 2%
Strengths
Weaknesses
  • · Thin endgame coverage
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.11 · Blue 2.15
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score26.3pts
Blue projected score85.5pts
Red win probability32%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 42%, blue 74%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
-59.1
Score range
-12123
Upset likelihood
32%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 203 vs event baseline 209.5.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

215.3Season APEX339.8
7.6Auto22.2
10.8Teleop60.5
7.3Endgame1.7
88Consistency98

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto1235
teleop4861
endgame3611
foul00
total96107

Result

Final score

96107

Prediction correct · off by 45.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

Match videos

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