Qualification · Qualification 48
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
26.35 – 85.45
32%68%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
96 – 107
Prediction correct · off by 45.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 215.3 ±15
Season APEX 97Event APEX 22.33Rank 34Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 95
Season APEX 43.7Event APEX -32.13Rank 60Record 0-8-0Status establishedConfidence 88
Season APEX 74.6Event APEX 36.15Rank 53Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 86
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 339.8 ±15.6
Season APEX 152Event APEX 85.08Rank 22Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 88
Season APEX 122.8Event APEX 23.86Rank 32Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 86
Season APEX 65Event APEX -23.49Rank 51Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 88
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8222, 250, 3171
30
/ 100 compatProjected
26.3 pts
~1.1 RP (regional)
Teams: 8222, 250, 3171
Auto
7.6 30%
Teleop
10.8 42%
Endgame
7.3 28%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2791, 677, 6463
32
/ 100 compatProjected
85.5 pts
~2.1 RP (regional)
Teams: 2791, 677, 6463
Auto
22.2 26%
Teleop
60.5 72%
Endgame
1.7 2%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.11 · Blue 2.15
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score26.3pts
Blue projected score85.5pts
Red win probability32%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 42%, blue 74%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -59.1
- Score range
- -12–123
- Upset likelihood
- 32%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
215.3Season APEX339.8
7.6Auto22.2
10.8Teleop60.5
7.3Endgame1.7
88Consistency98
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 12 | 35 |
| teleop | 48 | 61 |
| endgame | 36 | 11 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 96 | 107 |
Result
Final score
96 – 107
Prediction correct · off by 45.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.