Qualification · Qualification 43

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

384.48 – 183.86

92%8%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

483 – 150

Prediction correct · off by 66.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 682.1 ±16.1

1591Greece Gladiators

Season APEX 206.6Event APEX 114.02Rank 7Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 94

1796RoboTigers

Season APEX 342.8Event APEX 255.94Rank 1Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7031Duanesburg Jr./Sr. High School

Provisional

Season APEX 132.7Event APEX 14.52Rank 30Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 356.7 ±16.2

9624Dynamiques 9624

Season APEX 109.2Event APEX 53.31Rank 50Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 92

10582The Technochauns

Season APEX 129.2Event APEX 118.24Rank 42Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 85

191X-CATS

Season APEX 118.3Event APEX 12.31Rank 13Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 91

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1591, 1796, 7031

/ 100 compat

Projected

384.5 pts

~2.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 1591, 1796, 7031

Auto

46.4 12%

Teleop

233.1 61%

Endgame

100.3 26%

Strengths

· 1796 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 70%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9624, 10582, 191

/ 100 compat

Projected

183.9 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 9624, 10582, 191

Auto

37.1 20%

Teleop

95.2 52%

Endgame

50.1 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 70%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.75 · Blue 0.88

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score384.5pts

Blue projected score183.9pts

Red win probability92%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 70%, blue 69%

Supercharged bonusred 19%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 200.6
Score range: 148–420
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 633 vs event baseline 199.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

682.1Season APEX356.7

46.4Auto37.1

233.1Teleop95.2

100.3Endgame50.1

87Consistency68

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	99	21
teleop	261	77
endgame	108	42
foul	15	10
total	483	150

Result

Final score

483 – 150

Prediction correct · off by 66.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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