Qualification · Qualification 39

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

65.23 – 112.07

36%64%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

189 – 91

Prediction missed · off by 72.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 321.8 ±17.3

10714RAMpage.AI

Provisional

Season APEX 63.3Event APEX 40.14Rank 55Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

4121Viking Robotics

Season APEX 129.9Event APEX 10.21Rank 48Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7504CyBearBots

Season APEX 128.6Event APEX 14.88Rank 18Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 92

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 270.3 ±14.5

6806Mineola Wild Reds

Season APEX 71.3Event APEX 52.81Rank 40Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 86

3171HURRICANES

Season APEX 74.6Event APEX 43.07Rank 53Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 86

10604Demirören Robotics

Season APEX 124.4Event APEX 16.19Rank 46Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10714, 4121, 7504

/ 100 compat

Projected

65.2 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 10714, 4121, 7504

Auto

20.0 28%

Teleop

46.1 64%

Endgame

6.3 9%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6806, 3171, 10604

/ 100 compat

Projected

112.1 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 6806, 3171, 10604

Auto

32.2 28%

Teleop

50.0 43%

Endgame

33.2 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.31 · Blue 1.92

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score65.2pts

Blue projected score112.1pts

Red win probability36%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -46.8
Score range: 29–148
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 280 vs event baseline 200.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

321.8Season APEX270.3

20Auto32.2

46.1Teleop50

6.3Endgame33.2

51Consistency89

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	16
teleop	102	53
endgame	75	22
foul	0	0
total	189	91

Result

Final score

189 – 91

Prediction missed · off by 72.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.