Qualification · Qualification 37

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

82.13 – 378.52

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

134 – 428

Prediction correct · off by 50.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 273.3 ±15.6

7903Tigers

Season APEX 38.8Event APEX 14Rank 59Record 0-8-0Status establishedConfidence 88

20The Rocketeers

Season APEX 120.3Event APEX 17.03Rank 43Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 92

5016Huntington Robotics

Season APEX 114.2Event APEX 51.1Rank 36Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 92

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 666.3 ±11.6

870TEAM R. I. C. E.

Season APEX 291.3Event APEX 197.8Rank 4Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

424Rust Belt Robotics

Season APEX 220.8Event APEX 34.62Rank 21Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3173IgKnighters

Season APEX 154.2Event APEX 146.1Rank 8Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7903, 20, 5016

/ 100 compat

Projected

82.1 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 7903, 20, 5016

Auto

24.6 29%

Teleop

46.0 53%

Endgame

15.5 18%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 870, 424, 3173

/ 100 compat

Projected

378.5 pts

~2.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 870, 424, 3173

Auto

77.6 21%

Teleop

211.3 56%

Endgame

88.2 23%

Strengths

· 870 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.66 · Blue 2.75

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score82.1pts

Blue projected score378.5pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 66%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 12%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -296.4
Score range: 46–415
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 562 vs event baseline 199.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

273.3Season APEX666.3

24.6Auto77.6

46Teleop211.3

15.5Endgame88.2

90Consistency70

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	105
teleop	65	266
endgame	43	57
foul	5	0
total	134	428

Result

Final score

134 – 428

Prediction correct · off by 50.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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