Qualification · Qualification 36

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

171.49 – 235.42

31%69%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

228 – 415

Prediction correct · off by 118 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 440.9 ±14.1

2053Southern Tier Robotics

Season APEX 197.3Event APEX 107.66Rank 20Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2340Mercy Robotics-Xcentrics

Season APEX 199.9Event APEX 71.28Rank 24Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 89

250The Dynamos

Season APEX 43.7Event APEX -7.45Rank 60Record 0-8-0Status establishedConfidence 88

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 638.6 ±13.5

1591Greece Gladiators

Season APEX 206.6Event APEX 75.79Rank 7Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 94

5736Kingsmen Robotics

Season APEX 282.2Event APEX 145.28Rank 3Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5590Alumiboti

Season APEX 149.8Event APEX 14.35Rank 23Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 86

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2053, 2340, 250

/ 100 compat

Projected

171.5 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 2053, 2340, 250

Auto

19.2 12%

Teleop

91.3 55%

Endgame

54.9 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1591, 5736, 5590

/ 100 compat

Projected

235.4 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 1591, 5736, 5590

Auto

77.3 33%

Teleop

139.8 59%

Endgame

19.4 8%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.26 · Blue 2.29

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score171.5pts

Blue projected score235.4pts

Red win probability31%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 74%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 15%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -63.9
Score range: 136–270
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 643 vs event baseline 196.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

440.9Season APEX638.6

19.2Auto77.3

91.3Teleop139.8

54.9Endgame19.4

219Consistency138

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	36	90
teleop	109	184
endgame	83	111
foul	0	30
total	228	415

Result

Final score

228 – 415

Prediction correct · off by 118 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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