Qualification · Qualification 29

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

124.24 – 240.2

19%81%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

213 – 342

Prediction correct · off by 95.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 383.3 ±13.9

1405Finney Falcons

Season APEX 188.4Event APEX 162.61Rank 5Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 95

6463Robotic Reapers

Season APEX 65Event APEX -36.44Rank 51Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 88

4121Viking Robotics

Season APEX 129.9Event APEX -1.93Rank 48Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 515.3 ±14.1

5736Kingsmen Robotics

Season APEX 282.2Event APEX 129.48Rank 3Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5016Huntington Robotics

Season APEX 114.2Event APEX 57.98Rank 36Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 92

1126SPARX

Season APEX 118.9Event APEX 52.74Rank 14Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 92

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1405, 6463, 4121

/ 100 compat

Projected

124.2 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 1405, 6463, 4121

Auto

11.4 9%

Teleop

82.3 66%

Endgame

30.2 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5736, 5016, 1126

/ 100 compat

Projected

240.2 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 5736, 5016, 1126

Auto

71.2 30%

Teleop

136.5 58%

Endgame

26.4 11%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.07 · Blue 2.33

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score124.2pts

Blue projected score240.2pts

Red win probability19%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 64%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -116
Score range: 91–273
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 555 vs event baseline 185.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

383.3Season APEX515.3

11.4Auto71.2

82.3Teleop136.5

30.2Endgame26.4

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	90
teleop	125	189
endgame	65	63
foul	0	0
total	213	342

Result

Final score

213 – 342

Prediction correct · off by 95.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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