Qualification · Qualification 27

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

104.37 – 98.09

52%48%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

196 – 67

Prediction correct · off by 61.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 571.6 ±12.9

424Rust Belt Robotics

Season APEX 220.8Event APEX 35.61Rank 21Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4601Circuit Birds

Season APEX 129.6Event APEX 60.18Rank 29Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 86

6436NARBULUT PARS ROBOTICS

Season APEX 221.2Event APEX 8.58Rank 10Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 189.3 ±18.2

6300The Northwoodians

Season APEX 82.3Event APEX 6.19Rank 56Record 1-7-0Status establishedConfidence 91

10714RAMpage.AI

Provisional

Season APEX 63.3Event APEX 80.12Rank 55Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

250The Dynamos

Season APEX 43.7Event APEX 11.78Rank 60Record 0-8-0Status establishedConfidence 88

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 424, 4601, 6436

/ 100 compat

Projected

104.4 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 424, 4601, 6436

Auto

21.1 19%

Teleop

70.9 65%

Endgame

17.3 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6300, 10714, 250

/ 100 compat

Projected

98.1 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 6300, 10714, 250

Auto

25.7 25%

Teleop

46.5 45%

Endgame

31.2 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.76 · Blue 1.43

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score104.4pts

Blue projected score98.1pts

Red win probability52%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 65%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 6.3
Score range: 64–138
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 263 vs event baseline 188.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

571.6Season APEX189.3

21.1Auto25.7

70.9Teleop46.5

17.3Endgame31.2

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	51	19
teleop	105	37
endgame	40	11
foul	0	0
total	196	67

Result

Final score

196 – 67

Prediction correct · off by 61.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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