Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

136.32 – 333.95

8%92%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

80 – 366

Prediction correct · off by 44.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 333.9 ±15.6

20The Rocketeers

Season APEX 120.3Event APEX 43.86Rank 43Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 92

677Murphy's Outlaws

Season APEX 122.8Event APEX 59.07Rank 32Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 86

5881TVHS Dragons

Season APEX 90.8Event APEX 33.39Rank 44Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 91

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 670.2 ±11.9

7759Bulldog Bytes

Season APEX 154.5Event APEX 12.53Rank 15Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 88

1880Warriors of East Harlem

Season APEX 172.9Event APEX 57.72Rank 6Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1796RoboTigers

Season APEX 342.8Event APEX 263.7Rank 1Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 20, 677, 5881

/ 100 compat

Projected

136.3 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 20, 677, 5881

Auto

26.7 21%

Teleop

71.7 57%

Endgame

27.6 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7759, 1880, 1796

/ 100 compat

Projected

334 pts

~2.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 7759, 1880, 1796

Auto

50.3 16%

Teleop

213.8 67%

Endgame

56.9 18%

Strengths

· 1796 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.82 · Blue 2.69

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score136.3pts

Blue projected score334pts

Red win probability8%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 65%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 19%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -197.6
Score range: 95–375
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 446 vs event baseline 229.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

333.9Season APEX670.2

26.7Auto50.3

71.7Teleop213.8

27.6Endgame56.9

40Consistency24

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	48
teleop	43	271
endgame	15	47
foul	10	0
total	80	366

Result

Final score

80 – 366

Prediction correct · off by 44.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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