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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.
FRCinsights
New York Tech Valley Regional

Final · Finals 1

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

459.37 – 340

82%18%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

674 – 442

Prediction correct · off by 158.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 809.7 ±10.5
870TEAM R. I. C. E.
A
Season APEX 291.3Event APEX 186.42Rank 4Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
263Aftershock
B
Season APEX 175.6Event APEX 30.81Rank 41Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
1796RoboTigers
S
Season APEX 342.8Event APEX 242.14Rank 1Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 551.4 ±11.7
6436NARBULUT PARS ROBOTICS
B
Season APEX 221.2Event APEX 121.32Rank 10Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
9545Caracal Robotics
B
Season APEX 192.5Event APEX 112.7Rank 11Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
10202NOVATRON
B
Season APEX 137.7Event APEX 105.98Rank 25Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 870, 263, 1796
85
/ 100 compat
Projected
459.4 pts
~2.4 RP (regional)
Teams: 870, 263, 1796
Auto
112.3 25%
Teleop
256.5 56%
Endgame
85.9 19%
Strengths
  • · 1796 anchors offense
  • · Well-balanced across phases
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 58%
Supercharged: 12%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6436, 9545, 10202
80
/ 100 compat
Projected
340 pts
~1.0 RP (regional)
Teams: 6436, 9545, 10202
Auto
50.4 15%
Teleop
184.0 55%
Endgame
97.9 29%
Strengths
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 58%
Supercharged: 12%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.35 · Blue 0.97
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score459.4pts
Blue projected score340pts
Red win probability82%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 58%, blue 55%
Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
119.4
Score range
300–499
Upset likelihood
18%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring
Playoff

Combined score 1116 vs event baseline 222.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

809.7Season APEX551.4
112.3Auto50.4
256.5Teleop184
85.9Endgame97.9
56Consistency14

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto12673
teleop383223
endgame165131
foul015
total674442

Result

Final score

674 – 442

Prediction correct · off by 158.3 pts

Match videos

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