Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

375.3 – 173.11

93%7%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

504 – 228

Prediction correct · off by 91.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 706.2 ±10.5

10229Event Horizon

Season APEX 145.5Event APEX 29.57Rank 30Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10213BALTA

Season APEX 217.9Event APEX 152.99Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1796RoboTigers

Season APEX 342.8Event APEX 192.74Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 516.6 ±11

10262Bionic Buzzers

Season APEX 97.2Event APEX 70.29Rank 9Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4122Ossining OBOTS

Season APEX 233.2Event APEX 53.48Rank 6Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6911SO BOTZ

Season APEX 186.2Event APEX 49.34Rank 21Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10229, 10213, 1796

/ 100 compat

Projected

375.3 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 10229, 10213, 1796

Auto

74.4 21%

Teleop

205.8 58%

Endgame

74.9 21%

Strengths

· 1796 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10262, 4122, 6911

/ 100 compat

Projected

173.1 pts

~0.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 10262, 4122, 6911

Auto

27.5 17%

Teleop

95.8 60%

Endgame

36.9 23%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.37 · Blue 0.59

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score375.3pts

Blue projected score173.1pts

Red win probability93%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 202.2
Score range: 152–396
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 732 vs event baseline 117.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

706.2Season APEX516.6

74.4Auto27.5

205.8Teleop95.8

74.9Endgame36.9

0Consistency2

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	92	36
teleop	306	128
endgame	96	64
foul	10	0
total	504	228

Result

Final score

504 – 228

Prediction correct · off by 91.8 pts

Match videos

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