Playoff · Playoff Match 6 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

88.38 – 126.7

38%62%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

115 – 146

Prediction correct · off by 23 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 392.6 ±13.9

7748TECHTOLIA ROBOTICS

Season APEX 84.6Event APEX 32.29Rank 29Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2601Steel Hawks

Season APEX 217.2Event APEX 50.38Rank 13Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5881TVHS Dragons

Season APEX 90.8Event APEX 5.71Rank 10Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 91

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 361.7 ±11

7611Amal Hawks Robotics

Season APEX 87Event APEX 46.78Rank 8Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3419RoHawks

Season APEX 153.4Event APEX 55.67Rank 15Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1155SciBorgs

Season APEX 121.3Event APEX 24.25Rank 28Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7748, 2601, 5881

/ 100 compat

Projected

88.4 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 7748, 2601, 5881

Auto

6.1 7%

Teleop

53.4 64%

Endgame

23.8 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7611, 3419, 1155

/ 100 compat

Projected

126.7 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 7611, 3419, 1155

Auto

17.0 14%

Teleop

74.9 64%

Endgame

25.7 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.13 · Blue 1.6

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score88.4pts

Blue projected score126.7pts

Red win probability38%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 32%, blue 32%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -38.3
Score range: 67–148
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Playoff

Combined score 261 vs event baseline 117.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

392.6Season APEX361.7

6.1Auto17

53.4Teleop74.9

23.8Endgame25.7

57Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	21
teleop	54	89
endgame	32	26
foul	15	10
total	115	146

Result

Final score

115 – 146

Prediction correct · off by 23 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.