Playoff · Playoff Match 4 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

159.14 – 122.74

61%39%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

142 – 138

Prediction correct · off by 16.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 376.8 ±12.8

333MEGALODONS

Season APEX 117.3Event APEX 38.28Rank 26Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6621Artemis

Season APEX 121.9Event APEX 50.78Rank 27Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9077The Crown

Season APEX 137.6Event APEX 70.08Rank 5Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 361.7 ±11

7611Amal Hawks Robotics

Season APEX 87Event APEX 45.33Rank 8Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3419RoHawks

Season APEX 153.4Event APEX 54.49Rank 15Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1155SciBorgs

Season APEX 121.3Event APEX 22.92Rank 28Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 333, 6621, 9077

/ 100 compat

Projected

159.1 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 333, 6621, 9077

Auto

19.7 13%

Teleop

98.6 64%

Endgame

34.6 23%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7611, 3419, 1155

/ 100 compat

Projected

122.7 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 7611, 3419, 1155

Auto

14.4 13%

Teleop

75.2 68%

Endgame

20.5 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.61 · Blue 1.14

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score159.1pts

Blue projected score122.7pts

Red win probability61%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 32%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 36.4
Score range: 102–180
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 280 vs event baseline 116.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

376.8Season APEX361.7

19.7Auto14.4

98.6Teleop75.2

34.6Endgame20.5

13Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	40	26
teleop	52	72
endgame	20	40
foul	30	0
total	142	138

Result

Final score

142 – 138

Prediction correct · off by 16.2 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.