Playoff · Playoff Match 13 R5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

231.09 – 188.89

63%37%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

196 – 176

Prediction correct · off by 24 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 513.4 ±11.7

2053Southern Tier Robotics

Season APEX 197.3Event APEX 109.12Rank 3Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10413Flux Robotics

Season APEX 154.9Event APEX 44.47Rank 25Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10922Amped

Season APEX 161.2Event APEX 77.5Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 516.6 ±11

10262Bionic Buzzers

Season APEX 97.2Event APEX 74.48Rank 9Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4122Ossining OBOTS

Season APEX 233.2Event APEX 59.5Rank 6Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6911SO BOTZ

Season APEX 186.2Event APEX 54.91Rank 21Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2053, 10413, 10922

/ 100 compat

Projected

231.1 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 2053, 10413, 10922

Auto

29.5 13%

Teleop

132.6 59%

Endgame

61.9 28%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10262, 4122, 6911

/ 100 compat

Projected

188.9 pts

~1.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 10262, 4122, 6911

Auto

28.8 16%

Teleop

110.6 62%

Endgame

38.8 22%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.78 · Blue 1.18

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score231.1pts

Blue projected score188.9pts

Red win probability63%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 42.2
Score range: 167–253
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-17
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 372 vs event baseline 123.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

513.4Season APEX516.6

29.5Auto28.8

132.6Teleop110.6

61.9Endgame38.8

18Consistency6

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	34	37
teleop	81	87
endgame	81	42
foul	0	10
total	196	176

Result

Final score

196 – 176

Prediction correct · off by 24 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.