Qualification · Qualification 9

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

15.71 – 42

42%58%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

54 – 104

Prediction correct · off by 50.1 points

Limited current-season data (8 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 261.5 ±16.2

7718HVPA Dragons

Season APEX 88.9Event APEX 2.57Rank 42Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 88

7589Lishan Blue Magpie

Provisional

Season APEX 51.3Event APEX 3.14Rank 45Record 1-8-1Status provisionalConfidence 73

1155SciBorgs

Season APEX 121.3Event APEX 10Rank 28Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 338.7 ±13.4

7759Bulldog Bytes

Season APEX 154.5Event APEX 8.57Rank 24Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 88

7611Amal Hawks Robotics

Season APEX 87Event APEX 18Rank 8Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10262Bionic Buzzers

Season APEX 97.2Event APEX 15.43Rank 9Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7718, 7589, 1155

/ 100 compat

Projected

15.7 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 7718, 7589, 1155

Auto

3.1 22%

Teleop

8.3 58%

Endgame

2.9 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7759, 7611, 10262

/ 100 compat

Projected

42 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 7759, 7611, 10262

Auto

8.9 24%

Teleop

16.9 45%

Endgame

12.0 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.15 · Blue 1.64

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score15.7pts

Blue projected score42pts

Red win probability42%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 27%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -26.3
Score range: 0–58
Upset likelihood: 42%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 158 vs event baseline 90.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

261.5Season APEX338.7

3.1Auto8.9

8.3Teleop16.9

2.9Endgame12

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	1
teleop	29	66
endgame	9	37
foul	5	0
total	54	104

Result

Final score

54 – 104

Prediction correct · off by 50.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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