Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 76

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

210.1389.71

82%18%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

275147

Prediction correct · off by 61.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 436.3 ±12.4
Season APEX 217.9Event APEX 147.57Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 153.4Event APEX 46.13Rank 15Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 65Event APEX 16.43Rank 32Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 88
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 223.7 ±16.6
Season APEX 97.2Event APEX 65.58Rank 9Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 49.9Event APEX -4.43Rank 48Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 88
10152Orbotics
Provisional
Season APEX 76.6Event APEX 28.56Rank 16Record 6-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10213, 3419, 6463
81
/ 100 compat
Projected
210.1 pts
~2.1 RP (regional)
Teams: 10213, 3419, 6463
Auto
35.8 18%
Teleop
126.1 63%
Endgame
37.7 19%
Strengths
  • · 10213 anchors offense
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10262, 6969, 10152
53
/ 100 compat
Projected
89.7 pts
~0.8 RP (regional)
Teams: 10262, 6969, 10152
Auto
14.8 16%
Teleop
47.0 52%
Endgame
28.3 31%
Strengths
  • · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.09 · Blue 0.79
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score210.1pts
Blue projected score89.7pts
Red win probability82%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 42%, blue 38%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
120.4
Score range
70230
Upset likelihood
18%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 422 vs event baseline 113.6.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

436.3Season APEX223.7
35.8Auto14.8
126.1Teleop47
37.7Endgame28.3
53Consistency43

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto4226
teleop19473
endgame3943
foul05
total275147

Result

Final score

275147

Prediction correct · off by 61.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

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