Qualification · Qualification 75

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

122.06 – 102.5

56%44%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

139 – 154

Prediction missed · off by 34.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 294.7 ±13.9

1056Hot Rocks

Season APEX 93.3Event APEX 67.31Rank 12Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 95

5298E-TECH CHARGERS

Season APEX 74.3Event APEX 14.34Rank 33Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95

369High Voltage Robotics

Season APEX 127.1Event APEX 40.41Rank 38Record 2-7-1Status establishedConfidence 94

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 367.4 ±13.9

10413Flux Robotics

Season APEX 154.9Event APEX 43.72Rank 25Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2265Fe Maidens

Season APEX 95.2Event APEX 22.85Rank 22Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

333MEGALODONS

Season APEX 117.3Event APEX 35.93Rank 26Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1056, 5298, 369

/ 100 compat

Projected

122.1 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 1056, 5298, 369

Auto

22.1 19%

Teleop

62.0 53%

Endgame

33.1 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10413, 2265, 333

/ 100 compat

Projected

102.5 pts

~1.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 10413, 2265, 333

Auto

9.3 10%

Teleop

43.5 47%

Endgame

38.8 42%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.56 · Blue 1.23

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score122.1pts

Blue projected score102.5pts

Red win probability56%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 32%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 19.6
Score range: 83–142
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 293 vs event baseline 113.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

294.7Season APEX367.4

22.1Auto9.3

62Teleop43.5

33.1Endgame38.8

33Consistency10

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	22
teleop	84	83
endgame	31	49
foul	0	0
total	139	154

Result

Final score

139 – 154

Prediction missed · off by 34.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.