Qualification · Qualification 70

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

131.84 – 65.68

69%31%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

244 – 95

Prediction correct · off by 70.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 445.9 ±11.7

3419RoHawks

Season APEX 153.4Event APEX 35.87Rank 15Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9077The Crown

Season APEX 137.6Event APEX 63.38Rank 5Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10413Flux Robotics

Season APEX 154.9Event APEX 32.59Rank 25Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 270.9 ±13.5

6463Robotic Reapers

Season APEX 65Event APEX 11.18Rank 32Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 88

1155SciBorgs

Season APEX 121.3Event APEX 22.07Rank 28Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7748TECHTOLIA ROBOTICS

Season APEX 84.6Event APEX 32.43Rank 29Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3419, 9077, 10413

/ 100 compat

Projected

131.8 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 3419, 9077, 10413

Auto

27.3 21%

Teleop

75.3 58%

Endgame

27.2 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6463, 1155, 7748

/ 100 compat

Projected

65.7 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 6463, 1155, 7748

Auto

7.5 12%

Teleop

39.6 66%

Endgame

13.3 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.83 · Blue 0.93

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score131.8pts

Blue projected score65.7pts

Red win probability69%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 28%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 66.2
Score range: 46–152
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 339 vs event baseline 109.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

445.9Season APEX270.9

27.3Auto7.5

75.3Teleop39.6

27.2Endgame13.3

21Consistency21

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	11
teleop	163	57
endgame	41	22
foul	15	5
total	244	95

Result

Final score

244 – 95

Prediction correct · off by 70.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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