Qualification · Qualification 7

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

42.96 – 42.96

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

211 – 60

Prediction correct · off by 92.5 points

Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 338 ±15.6

4091DRIFT

Provisional

Season APEX 45.8Event APEX -Rank 20Record 6-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

5298E-TECH CHARGERS

Season APEX 74.3Event APEX -Rank 33Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95

10213BALTA

Season APEX 217.9Event APEX -Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 304.7 ±15

5806Basement Lions

Season APEX 86.4Event APEX -Rank 17Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 92

6621Artemis

Season APEX 121.9Event APEX -Rank 27Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3204Steampunk Penguins

Season APEX 96.4Event APEX -Rank 47Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 91

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4091, 5298, 10213

/ 100 compat

Projected

43 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 4091, 5298, 10213

Auto

12.9 30%

Teleop

21.5 50%

Endgame

8.6 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5806, 6621, 3204

/ 100 compat

Projected

43 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 5806, 6621, 3204

Auto

12.9 30%

Teleop

21.5 50%

Endgame

8.6 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.43 · Blue 1.3

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score43pts

Blue projected score43pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 26%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 0
Score range: 28–58
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 271 vs event baseline 85.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

338Season APEX304.7

-Auto-

-Teleop-

-Endgame-

-Consistency-

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	50	12
teleop	109	39
endgame	52	9
foul	0	0
total	211	60

Result

Final score

211 – 60

Prediction correct · off by 92.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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