Qualification · Qualification 66

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

79.22 – 188.79

20%80%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

130 – 193

Prediction correct · off by 27.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 393.7 ±14.5

7759Bulldog Bytes

Season APEX 154.5Event APEX 6.27Rank 24Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 88

6621Artemis

Season APEX 121.9Event APEX 42.65Rank 27Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

333MEGALODONS

Season APEX 117.3Event APEX 30.3Rank 26Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 434.7 ±15.8

1796RoboTigers

Season APEX 342.8Event APEX 186.64Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

250The Dynamos

Season APEX 43.7Event APEX 15.34Rank 35Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 88

11331TarryBots

Provisional

Season APEX 48.2Event APEX -13.19Rank 19Record 6-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7759, 6621, 333

/ 100 compat

Projected

79.2 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 7759, 6621, 333

Auto

7.9 11%

Teleop

48.1 69%

Endgame

13.8 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1796, 250, 11331

/ 100 compat

Projected

188.8 pts

~2.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 1796, 250, 11331

Auto

46.3 26%

Teleop

93.6 52%

Endgame

41.1 23%

Strengths

· 1796 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.77 · Blue 2.06

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score79.2pts

Blue projected score188.8pts

Red win probability20%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 33%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -109.6
Score range: 59–209
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 323 vs event baseline 108.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

393.7Season APEX434.7

7.9Auto46.3

48.1Teleop93.6

13.8Endgame41.1

2Consistency58

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	27	47
teleop	36	101
endgame	67	10
foul	0	35
total	130	193

Result

Final score

130 – 193

Prediction correct · off by 27.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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