Qualification · Qualification 62
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
64.98 – 53.89
53%47%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
91 – 54
Prediction correct · off by 13.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 260.5 ±16.2
10152Orbotics
Provisional
Season APEX 76.6Event APEX 26.54Rank 16Record 6-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Season APEX 62.6Event APEX 19.91Rank 37Record 3-6-1Status establishedConfidence 88
Season APEX 121.3Event APEX 18.53Rank 28Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 249.9 ±15
Season APEX 95.2Event APEX 22.58Rank 22Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 63.9Event APEX 35.4Rank 39Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 88
Season APEX 90.8Event APEX -4.09Rank 10Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 91
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10152, 6401, 1155
40
/ 100 compatProjected
65 pts
~1.4 RP (regional)
Teams: 10152, 6401, 1155
Auto
21.9 40%
Teleop
28.7 53%
Endgame
3.8 7%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 31%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2265, 7730, 5881
36
/ 100 compatProjected
53.9 pts
~1.3 RP (regional)
Teams: 2265, 7730, 5881
Auto
7.7 20%
Teleop
13.5 36%
Endgame
16.8 44%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 31%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.42 · Blue 1.26
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score65pts
Blue projected score53.9pts
Red win probability53%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 31%, blue 29%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 11.1
- Score range
- 35–84
- Upset likelihood
- 47%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
260.5Season APEX249.9
21.9Auto7.7
28.7Teleop13.5
3.8Endgame16.8
21Consistency32
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 25 | 6 |
| teleop | 39 | 40 |
| endgame | 22 | 8 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 91 | 54 |
Result
Final score
91 – 54
Prediction correct · off by 13.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.