Qualification · Qualification 55

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

311.02 – 97.96

93%7%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

281 – 81

Prediction correct · off by 23.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 580.6 ±14.3

10922Amped

Season APEX 161.2Event APEX 87.23Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10152Orbotics

Provisional

Season APEX 76.6Event APEX 33.16Rank 16Record 6-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

1796RoboTigers

Season APEX 342.8Event APEX 190.63Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 324.2 ±13.5

7504CyBearBots

Season APEX 128.6Event APEX 62.72Rank 14Record 6-3-1Status establishedConfidence 92

5298E-TECH CHARGERS

Season APEX 74.3Event APEX 14.18Rank 33Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95

1155SciBorgs

Season APEX 121.3Event APEX 21.06Rank 28Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10922, 10152, 1796

/ 100 compat

Projected

311 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 10922, 10152, 1796

Auto

57.2 19%

Teleop

184.4 60%

Endgame

63.9 21%

Strengths

· 1796 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7504, 5298, 1155

/ 100 compat

Projected

98 pts

~0.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 7504, 5298, 1155

Auto

18.6 21%

Teleop

60.2 69%

Endgame

8.3 10%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.44 · Blue 0.45

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score311pts

Blue projected score98pts

Red win probability93%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 27%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 213.1
Score range: 79–330
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 362 vs event baseline 103.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

580.6Season APEX324.2

57.2Auto18.6

184.4Teleop60.2

63.9Endgame8.3

76Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	74	17
teleop	157	46
endgame	45	18
foul	5	0
total	281	81

Result

Final score

281 – 81

Prediction correct · off by 23.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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