Qualification · Qualification 52

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

52.11 – 111.96

32%68%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

42 – 166

Prediction correct · off by 32.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 163.6 ±15.6

5123Mechadogs

Season APEX 67.7Event APEX 5.66Rank 46Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 88

9636Space Junk

Season APEX 52.2Event APEX 21.15Rank 40Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 88

250The Dynamos

Season APEX 43.7Event APEX 25.3Rank 35Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 88

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 385.4 ±12.8

7748TECHTOLIA ROBOTICS

Season APEX 84.6Event APEX 19.46Rank 29Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6593HyperDrive Robotics

Season APEX 114.6Event APEX 66.76Rank 11Record 6-3-1Status establishedConfidence 97

6911SO BOTZ

Season APEX 186.2Event APEX 25.74Rank 21Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5123, 9636, 250

/ 100 compat

Projected

52.1 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 5123, 9636, 250

Auto

8.6 22%

Teleop

20.4 52%

Endgame

9.9 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7748, 6593, 6911

/ 100 compat

Projected

112 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 7748, 6593, 6911

Auto

8.0 7%

Teleop

68.1 62%

Endgame

33.5 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.94 · Blue 1.74

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score52.1pts

Blue projected score112pts

Red win probability32%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 26%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -59.8
Score range: 33–131
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 208 vs event baseline 103.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

163.6Season APEX385.4

8.6Auto8

20.4Teleop68.1

9.9Endgame33.5

102Consistency46

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	13
teleop	11	110
endgame	14	43
foul	5	0
total	42	166

Result

Final score

42 – 166

Prediction correct · off by 32.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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