Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

70.26 – 224.18

13%87%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

58 – 167

Prediction correct · off by 34.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 287.1 ±15

6969Cyborgs6969

Season APEX 49.9Event APEX -5.84Rank 48Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 88

6300The Northwoodians

Season APEX 82.3Event APEX 41.2Rank 7Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 91

10413Flux Robotics

Season APEX 154.9Event APEX 34.9Rank 25Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 579.1 ±12.4

10229Event Horizon

Season APEX 145.5Event APEX 22.81Rank 30Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5881TVHS Dragons

Season APEX 90.8Event APEX 0.68Rank 10Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 91

1796RoboTigers

Season APEX 342.8Event APEX 200.69Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6969, 6300, 10413

/ 100 compat

Projected

70.3 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 6969, 6300, 10413

Auto

5.2 8%

Teleop

39.9 58%

Endgame

24.2 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10229, 5881, 1796

/ 100 compat

Projected

224.2 pts

~2.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 10229, 5881, 1796

Auto

45.9 22%

Teleop

116.4 55%

Endgame

50.2 24%

Strengths

· 1796 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.65 · Blue 2.13

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score70.3pts

Blue projected score224.2pts

Red win probability13%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -153.9
Score range: 51–243
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 225 vs event baseline 103.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

287.1Season APEX579.1

5.2Auto45.9

39.9Teleop116.4

24.2Endgame50.2

24Consistency118

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	35
teleop	36	85
endgame	2	7
foul	5	40
total	58	167

Result

Final score

58 – 167

Prediction correct · off by 34.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.