Qualification · Qualification 42

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

13.41 – 30.97

45%55%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

50 – 33

Prediction missed · off by 19.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 178.4 ±17

7318Nanuet Knightronz

Provisional

Season APEX 36.4Event APEX -15.95Rank 44Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

5123Mechadogs

Season APEX 67.7Event APEX 3.79Rank 46Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 88

5298E-TECH CHARGERS

Season APEX 74.3Event APEX 25.57Rank 33Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 157.9 ±17.5

7668GatorBots

Season APEX 42.7Event APEX -24.17Rank 34Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 88

7589Lishan Blue Magpie

Provisional

Season APEX 51.3Event APEX 23.77Rank 45Record 1-8-1Status provisionalConfidence 73

7730uNReal

Season APEX 63.9Event APEX 31.37Rank 39Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 88

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7318, 5123, 5298

/ 100 compat

Projected

13.4 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 7318, 5123, 5298

Auto

13.6 100%

Teleop

-2.8 0%

Endgame

-1.5 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7668, 7589, 7730

/ 100 compat

Projected

31 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 7668, 7589, 7730

Auto

8.1 22%

Teleop

18.1 49%

Endgame

10.5 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.14 · Blue 1.49

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score13.4pts

Blue projected score31pts

Red win probability45%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 21%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -17.6
Score range: -5–49
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 83 vs event baseline 99.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

178.4Season APEX157.9

13.6Auto8.1

-2.8Teleop18.1

-1.5Endgame10.5

92Consistency44

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	10
teleop	21	8
endgame	7	5
foul	10	10
total	50	33

Result

Final score

50 – 33

Prediction missed · off by 19.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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