Qualification · Qualification 4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

325.69 – 97.84

94%6%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

377 – 54

Prediction correct · off by 47.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 550.7 ±12.4

1056Hot Rocks

Season APEX 93.3Event APEX 62.72Rank 12Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 95

6593HyperDrive Robotics

Season APEX 114.6Event APEX 63.46Rank 11Record 6-3-1Status establishedConfidence 97

1796RoboTigers

Season APEX 342.8Event APEX 199.51Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 195.9 ±16.6

10262Bionic Buzzers

Season APEX 97.2Event APEX 73.19Rank 9Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7668GatorBots

Season APEX 42.7Event APEX 0.04Rank 34Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 88

11339Cibatronic

Provisional

Season APEX 56Event APEX 24.61Rank 31Record 4-5-1Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1056, 6593, 1796

/ 100 compat

Projected

325.7 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 1056, 6593, 1796

Auto

66.6 21%

Teleop

177.5 56%

Endgame

71.6 23%

Strengths

· 1796 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10262, 7668, 11339

/ 100 compat

Projected

97.8 pts

~0.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 10262, 7668, 11339

Auto

12.1 13%

Teleop

45.2 50%

Endgame

33.4 37%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.42 · Blue 0.52

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score325.7pts

Blue projected score97.8pts

Red win probability94%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 227.9
Score range: 75–349
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 431 vs event baseline 126.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

550.7Season APEX195.9

66.6Auto12.1

177.5Teleop45.2

71.6Endgame33.4

0Consistency62

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	73	5
teleop	217	20
endgame	87	29
foul	0	0
total	377	54

Result

Final score

377 – 54

Prediction correct · off by 47.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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