Qualification · Qualification 34

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

53.56 – 75.24

43%57%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

66 – 80

Prediction correct · off by 8.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 214.9 ±17.5

7504CyBearBots

Season APEX 128.6Event APEX 79.29Rank 14Record 6-3-1Status establishedConfidence 92

6969Cyborgs6969

Season APEX 49.9Event APEX -6.69Rank 48Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 88

7318Nanuet Knightronz

Provisional

Season APEX 36.4Event APEX -19.04Rank 44Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 322.7 ±16.2

4091DRIFT

Provisional

Season APEX 45.8Event APEX 30.91Rank 20Record 6-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

250The Dynamos

Season APEX 43.7Event APEX 31.03Rank 35Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 88

4122Ossining OBOTS

Season APEX 233.2Event APEX 13.3Rank 6Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7504, 6969, 7318

/ 100 compat

Projected

53.6 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 7504, 6969, 7318

Auto

18.3 39%

Teleop

30.4 64%

Endgame

-1.4 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4091, 250, 4122

/ 100 compat

Projected

75.2 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 4091, 250, 4122

Auto

36.5 47%

Teleop

22.1 29%

Endgame

18.3 24%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.15 · Blue 1.53

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score53.6pts

Blue projected score75.2pts

Red win probability43%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 24%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -21.7
Score range: 36–93
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 146 vs event baseline 100.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

214.9Season APEX322.7

18.3Auto36.5

30.4Teleop22.1

-1.4Endgame18.3

66Consistency21

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	8	44
teleop	35	28
endgame	23	8
foul	0	0
total	66	80

Result

Final score

66 – 80

Prediction correct · off by 8.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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