Qualification · Qualification 27

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

160.5 – 109.59

65%35%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

191 – 38

Prediction correct · off by 51 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 294.1 ±13.9

10262Bionic Buzzers

Season APEX 97.2Event APEX 28.6Rank 9Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6300The Northwoodians

Season APEX 82.3Event APEX 52.58Rank 7Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 91

6593HyperDrive Robotics

Season APEX 114.6Event APEX 79.32Rank 11Record 6-3-1Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 200 ±18.4

7611Amal Hawks Robotics

Season APEX 87Event APEX 61.22Rank 8Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10152Orbotics

Provisional

Season APEX 76.6Event APEX 50.81Rank 16Record 6-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

7318Nanuet Knightronz

Provisional

Season APEX 36.4Event APEX -2.44Rank 44Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10262, 6300, 6593

/ 100 compat

Projected

160.5 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 10262, 6300, 6593

Auto

12.9 8%

Teleop

103.6 65%

Endgame

44.1 27%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7611, 10152, 7318

/ 100 compat

Projected

109.6 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 7611, 10152, 7318

Auto

13.9 13%

Teleop

68.0 62%

Endgame

26.9 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.8 · Blue 1.06

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score160.5pts

Blue projected score109.6pts

Red win probability65%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 50.9
Score range: 92–179
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 229 vs event baseline 98.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

294.1Season APEX200

12.9Auto13.9

103.6Teleop68

44.1Endgame26.9

65Consistency87

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	4	15
teleop	111	11
endgame	66	2
foul	10	10
total	191	38

Result

Final score

191 – 38

Prediction correct · off by 51 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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