Qualification · Qualification 21

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

53.83 – 41.69

54%46%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

93 – 71

Prediction correct · off by 34.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 242.9 ±17

6621Artemis

Season APEX 121.9Event APEX 51.47Rank 27Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6463Robotic Reapers

Season APEX 65Event APEX -24.04Rank 32Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 88

11339Cibatronic

Provisional

Season APEX 56Event APEX 26.4Rank 31Record 4-5-1Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 240 ±16.2

6300The Northwoodians

Season APEX 82.3Event APEX 43.67Rank 7Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 91

7318Nanuet Knightronz

Provisional

Season APEX 36.4Event APEX -9.08Rank 44Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

1155SciBorgs

Season APEX 121.3Event APEX 7.1Rank 28Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6621, 6463, 11339

/ 100 compat

Projected

53.8 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 6621, 6463, 11339

Auto

5.9 12%

Teleop

25.5 52%

Endgame

17.3 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6300, 7318, 1155

/ 100 compat

Projected

41.7 pts

~1.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 6300, 7318, 1155

Auto

-0.6 0%

Teleop

35.6 94%

Endgame

3.0 8%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.45 · Blue 1.22

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score53.8pts

Blue projected score41.7pts

Red win probability54%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 33%, blue 25%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 12.1
Score range: 24–72
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 164 vs event baseline 100.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

242.9Season APEX240

5.9Auto-0.6

25.5Teleop35.6

17.3Endgame3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	14
teleop	59	47
endgame	23	10
foul	0	0
total	93	71

Result

Final score

93 – 71

Prediction correct · off by 34.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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