Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

49.02 – 109.48

32%68%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

9 – 153

Prediction correct · off by 41.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 209.9 ±17

7318Nanuet Knightronz

Provisional

Season APEX 36.4Event APEX 15.1Rank 44Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

7748TECHTOLIA ROBOTICS

Season APEX 84.6Event APEX 31.3Rank 29Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7718HVPA Dragons

Season APEX 88.9Event APEX 2.62Rank 42Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 88

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 308.1 ±16.2

11331TarryBots

Provisional

Season APEX 48.2Event APEX -3.56Rank 19Record 6-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

2053Southern Tier Robotics

Season APEX 197.3Event APEX 96.28Rank 3Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

64018-bit RAMs

Season APEX 62.6Event APEX 16.76Rank 37Record 3-6-1Status establishedConfidence 88

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7318, 7748, 7718

/ 100 compat

Projected

49 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 7318, 7748, 7718

Auto

6.0 12%

Teleop

30.0 61%

Endgame

13.1 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11331, 2053, 6401

/ 100 compat

Projected

109.5 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 11331, 2053, 6401

Auto

21.1 20%

Teleop

55.1 52%

Endgame

28.8 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.93 · Blue 1.81

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score49pts

Blue projected score109.5pts

Red win probability32%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 25%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -60.5
Score range: 26–132
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 162 vs event baseline 126.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

209.9Season APEX308.1

6Auto21.1

30Teleop55.1

13.1Endgame28.8

57Consistency40

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	2	23
teleop	6	92
endgame	1	38
foul	0	0
total	9	153

Result

Final score

9 – 153

Prediction correct · off by 41.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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