Qualification · Qualification 10
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
53.44 – 122.3
30%70%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
51 – 147
Prediction correct · off by 13.6 points
Limited current-season data (9 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 242.4 ±14.5
Season APEX 95.2Event APEX 11.3Rank 22Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 84.6Event APEX -1.57Rank 29Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 62.6Event APEX 43.71Rank 37Record 3-6-1Status establishedConfidence 88
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 458.6 ±13.7
Season APEX 342.8Event APEX 107.71Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 73.1Event APEX 5.86Rank 36Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 88
Season APEX 42.7Event APEX 8.73Rank 34Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 88
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2265, 7748, 6401
53
/ 100 compatProjected
53.4 pts
~1.0 RP (regional)
Teams: 2265, 7748, 6401
Auto
13.1 26%
Teleop
28.7 57%
Endgame
8.6 17%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 33%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1796, 395, 7668
85
/ 100 compatProjected
122.3 pts
~1.9 RP (regional)
Teams: 1796, 395, 7668
Auto
24.3 20%
Teleop
65.0 54%
Endgame
31.5 26%
Strengths
- · 1796 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 33%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.97 · Blue 1.87
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score53.4pts
Blue projected score122.3pts
Red win probability30%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 33%, blue 42%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -68.9
- Score range
- 37–138
- Upset likelihood
- 30%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
242.4Season APEX458.6
13.1Auto24.3
28.7Teleop65
8.6Endgame31.5
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 5 | 54 |
| teleop | 19 | 59 |
| endgame | 12 | 34 |
| foul | 15 | 0 |
| total | 51 | 147 |
Result
Final score
51 – 147
Prediction correct · off by 13.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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