Qualification · Qualification 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

49.52 – 48.16

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

35 – 11

Prediction correct · off by 25.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 278 ±14.1

3952 Train Robotics

Season APEX 73.1Event APEX 5.77Rank 36Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 88

1155SciBorgs

Season APEX 121.3Event APEX 27.44Rank 28Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3004Bx Quixote

Season APEX 83.6Event APEX 16.31Rank 43Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 88

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 144.9 ±17.5

250The Dynamos

Season APEX 43.7Event APEX 13.34Rank 35Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 88

7589Lishan Blue Magpie

Provisional

Season APEX 51.3Event APEX 31.13Rank 45Record 1-8-1Status provisionalConfidence 73

6969Cyborgs6969

Season APEX 49.9Event APEX 3.69Rank 48Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 88

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 395, 1155, 3004

/ 100 compat

Projected

49.5 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 395, 1155, 3004

Auto

11.1 25%

Teleop

16.9 38%

Endgame

16.2 37%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 250, 7589, 6969

/ 100 compat

Projected

48.2 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 250, 7589, 6969

Auto

7.8 18%

Teleop

22.8 52%

Endgame

13.0 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.29 · Blue 1.34

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score49.5pts

Blue projected score48.2pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 24%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 1.4
Score range: 25–73
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 46 vs event baseline 126.1.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

278Season APEX144.9

11.1Auto7.8

16.9Teleop22.8

16.2Endgame13

27Consistency51

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	7	2
teleop	17	6
endgame	6	3
foul	5	0
total	35	11

Result

Final score

35 – 11

Prediction correct · off by 25.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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