Playoff · Playoff Match 8 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

373.65 – 261.84

80%20%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

379 – 304

Prediction correct · off by 23.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 856.4 ±8.7

694StuyPulse

A+

Season APEX 323.3Event APEX 134.48Rank 9Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3015Ranger Robotics

A+

Season APEX 312.5Event APEX 167.71Rank 2Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

48Team E.L.I.T.E.

Season APEX 220.6Event APEX 71.46Rank 20Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 604.1 ±10.4

3181Pittsford Panthers

Season APEX 233Event APEX 110.93Rank 7Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10922Amped

Season APEX 161.2Event APEX 62.37Rank 35Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1787The Flying Circuits

Season APEX 209.9Event APEX 88.54Rank 3Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 694, 3015, 48

/ 100 compat

Projected

373.7 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 694, 3015, 48

Auto

90.4 25%

Teleop

208.7 57%

Endgame

65.3 18%

Strengths

· 3015 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3181, 10922, 1787

/ 100 compat

Projected

261.8 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 3181, 10922, 1787

Auto

56.5 22%

Teleop

141.4 55%

Endgame

61.5 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.18 · Blue 0.87

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score373.7pts

Blue projected score261.8pts

Red win probability80%

Event bonus sample198alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 111.8
Score range: 235–401
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 683 vs event baseline 148.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

856.4Season APEX604.1

90.4Auto56.5

208.7Teleop141.4

65.3Endgame61.5

0Consistency11

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	87	82
teleop	207	73
endgame	75	64
foul	10	85
total	379	304

Result

Final score

379 – 304

Prediction correct · off by 23.8 pts

Match videos

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