Qualification · Qualification 8

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

59.54 – 59.54

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

305 – 27

Prediction correct · off by 139 points

Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 559.6 ±14.7

340G.R.R. (Greater Rochester Robotics)

Season APEX 265.2Event APEX -Rank 6Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1787The Flying Circuits

Season APEX 209.9Event APEX -Rank 3Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3838Roc City Robotix

Provisional

Season APEX 84.5Event APEX -Rank 23Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 232.2 ±19.4

9016Syosset SuperSonics

Season APEX 76.7Event APEX -Rank 46Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94

6947Savage Tumaz

Provisional

Season APEX 60.3Event APEX -Rank 38Record 4-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

6868Cadet Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 95.2Event APEX -Rank 34Record 4-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 340, 1787, 3838

/ 100 compat

Projected

59.5 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 340, 1787, 3838

Auto

17.9 30%

Teleop

29.8 50%

Endgame

11.9 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9016, 6947, 6868

/ 100 compat

Projected

59.5 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 9016, 6947, 6868

Auto

17.9 30%

Teleop

29.8 50%

Endgame

11.9 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.61 · Blue 1.48

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score59.5pts

Blue projected score59.5pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample198alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 0
Score range: 39–81
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 332 vs event baseline 119.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

559.6Season APEX232.2

-Auto-

-Teleop-

-Endgame-

-Consistency-

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	82	23
teleop	185	4
endgame	38	0
foul	0	0
total	305	27

Result

Final score

305 – 27

Prediction correct · off by 139 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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