Qualification · Qualification 79

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

142.26 – 176.86

39%61%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

115 – 192

Prediction correct · off by 21.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 387.8 ±16.9

1787The Flying Circuits

Season APEX 209.9Event APEX 91.89Rank 3Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1450XQ Robotix Team 1450

Provisional

Season APEX 59.6Event APEX 22.66Rank 50Record 2-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

191X-CATS

Season APEX 118.3Event APEX 27.71Rank 41Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 91

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 417.9 ±16.4

1468Hicksville J-Birds

Season APEX 86.9Event APEX 19.8Rank 48Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3799Electric Fire

Provisional

Season APEX 98Event APEX 48.37Rank 39Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

3181Pittsford Panthers

Season APEX 233Event APEX 108.69Rank 7Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1787, 1450, 191

/ 100 compat

Projected

142.3 pts

~1.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 1787, 1450, 191

Auto

32.2 23%

Teleop

75.9 54%

Endgame

31.9 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1468, 3799, 3181

/ 100 compat

Projected

176.9 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 1468, 3799, 3181

Auto

22.5 13%

Teleop

109.9 64%

Endgame

39.6 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.21 · Blue 1.72

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score142.3pts

Blue projected score176.9pts

Red win probability39%

Event bonus sample198alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -34.6
Score range: 116–203
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 307 vs event baseline 143.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

387.8Season APEX417.9

32.2Auto22.5

75.9Teleop109.9

31.9Endgame39.6

14Consistency70

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	33	33
teleop	21	103
endgame	41	41
foul	20	15
total	115	192

Result

Final score

115 – 192

Prediction correct · off by 21.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.