Qualification · Qualification 77

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

81.44 – 202.35

18%82%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

98 – 214

Prediction correct · off by 14.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 352 ±17.5

3003TAN(X)

Season APEX 148.1Event APEX -5.56Rank 55Record 1-8-0Status establishedConfidence 86

4458Infernobotix

Season APEX 108.7Event APEX 37.18Rank 33Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 91

6868Cadet Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 95.2Event APEX 49.82Rank 34Record 4-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 505 ±16.6

1585Scitobor Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 61.6Event APEX 12.41Rank 29Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

810The Mechanical Bulls

Season APEX 130.9Event APEX 19.9Rank 31Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 91

3015Ranger Robotics

A+

Season APEX 312.5Event APEX 170.04Rank 2Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3003, 4458, 6868

/ 100 compat

Projected

81.4 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 3003, 4458, 6868

Auto

20.8 26%

Teleop

37.7 47%

Endgame

22.3 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1585, 810, 3015

/ 100 compat

Projected

202.4 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 1585, 810, 3015

Auto

63.0 31%

Teleop

116.8 57%

Endgame

23.9 12%

Strengths

· 3015 anchors offense
· Strong autonomous coverage
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.85 · Blue 2.29

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score81.4pts

Blue projected score202.4pts

Red win probability18%

Event bonus sample198alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -120.9
Score range: 55–228
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 312 vs event baseline 142.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

352Season APEX505

20.8Auto63

37.7Teleop116.8

22.3Endgame23.9

46Consistency71

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	91
teleop	46	96
endgame	24	2
foul	15	25
total	98	214

Result

Final score

98 – 214

Prediction correct · off by 14.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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