Qualification · Qualification 76

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

91.54 – 76.9

55%45%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

166 – 134

Prediction correct · off by 65.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 340.2 ±16.8

6947Savage Tumaz

Provisional

Season APEX 60.3Event APEX 15.26Rank 38Record 4-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

1511Rolling Thunder

Season APEX 205.3Event APEX 45.85Rank 4Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9767Magnificat MagnifiBots

Season APEX 74.6Event APEX 30.43Rank 28Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 95

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 341.1 ±18.2

7030The ROBOlympians

Provisional

Season APEX 58.2Event APEX -10.75Rank 32Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

2340Mercy Robotics-Xcentrics

Season APEX 199.9Event APEX 76.18Rank 17Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 89

6423Ward Melville Iron Patriots

Season APEX 83Event APEX 11.47Rank 19Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 92

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6947, 1511, 9767

/ 100 compat

Projected

91.5 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 6947, 1511, 9767

Auto

17.9 21%

Teleop

41.8 49%

Endgame

25.7 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7030, 2340, 6423

/ 100 compat

Projected

76.9 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 7030, 2340, 6423

Auto

17.6 26%

Teleop

45.9 68%

Endgame

3.9 6%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.65 · Blue 1.49

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score91.5pts

Blue projected score76.9pts

Red win probability55%

Event bonus sample198alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 14.6
Score range: 51–118
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 300 vs event baseline 142.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

340.2Season APEX341.1

17.9Auto17.6

41.8Teleop45.9

25.7Endgame3.9

18Consistency76

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	9	17
teleop	80	94
endgame	77	18
foul	0	5
total	166	134

Result

Final score

166 – 134

Prediction correct · off by 65.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.