Qualification · Qualification 69

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

178.21 – 166.08

54%46%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

125 – 300

Prediction missed · off by 93.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 357.5 ±20.5

3799Electric Fire

Provisional

Season APEX 98Event APEX 52.74Rank 39Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

2340Mercy Robotics-Xcentrics

Season APEX 199.9Event APEX 90.58Rank 17Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 89

1450XQ Robotix Team 1450

Provisional

Season APEX 59.6Event APEX 34.89Rank 50Record 2-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 444.8 ±15.6

1405Finney Falcons

Season APEX 188.4Event APEX 89.48Rank 12Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 95

6868Cadet Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 95.2Event APEX 38.91Rank 34Record 4-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

10922Amped

Season APEX 161.2Event APEX 37.69Rank 35Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3799, 2340, 1450

/ 100 compat

Projected

178.2 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 3799, 2340, 1450

Auto

18.7 11%

Teleop

120.9 72%

Endgame

28.6 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1405, 6868, 10922

/ 100 compat

Projected

166.1 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 1405, 6868, 10922

Auto

34.2 20%

Teleop

89.7 51%

Endgame

50.9 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.62 · Blue 1.41

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score178.2pts

Blue projected score166.1pts

Red win probability54%

Event bonus sample198alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 12.1
Score range: 141–203
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 425 vs event baseline 138.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

357.5Season APEX444.8

18.7Auto34.2

120.9Teleop89.7

28.6Endgame50.9

54Consistency68

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	18
teleop	75	170
endgame	21	112
foul	5	0
total	125	300

Result

Final score

125 – 300

Prediction missed · off by 93.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.