Qualification · Qualification 58

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

221.71 – 136.54

74%26%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

248 – 82

Prediction correct · off by 40.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 560.5 ±13.7

694StuyPulse

A+

Season APEX 323.3Event APEX 125.54Rank 9Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

191X-CATS

Season APEX 118.3Event APEX 33.8Rank 41Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 91

1126SPARX

Season APEX 118.9Event APEX 62.37Rank 14Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 92

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 330.2 ±16.9

10922Amped

Season APEX 161.2Event APEX 44.83Rank 35Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4458Infernobotix

Season APEX 108.7Event APEX 56.08Rank 33Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 91

6947Savage Tumaz

Provisional

Season APEX 60.3Event APEX 35.63Rank 38Record 4-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 694, 191, 1126

/ 100 compat

Projected

221.7 pts

~2.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 694, 191, 1126

Auto

45.8 22%

Teleop

125.7 59%

Endgame

40.0 19%

Strengths

· 694 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10922, 4458, 6947

/ 100 compat

Projected

136.5 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 10922, 4458, 6947

Auto

31.1 23%

Teleop

75.7 55%

Endgame

30.5 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.02 · Blue 1.01

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score221.7pts

Blue projected score136.5pts

Red win probability74%

Event bonus sample198alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 85.2
Score range: 113–246
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 330 vs event baseline 133.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

560.5Season APEX330.2

45.8Auto31.1

125.7Teleop75.7

40Endgame30.5

36Consistency47

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	28
teleop	129	44
endgame	101	10
foul	0	0
total	248	82

Result

Final score

248 – 82

Prediction correct · off by 40.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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