Qualification · Qualification 55

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

207.74 – 47.7

88%12%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

250 – 66

Prediction correct · off by 30.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 401.1 ±17.3

325Respawn Robotics

Season APEX 82.3Event APEX 30.18Rank 47Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 88

424Rust Belt Robotics

Season APEX 220.8Event APEX 136.85Rank 1Record 9-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3799Electric Fire

Provisional

Season APEX 98Event APEX 40.71Rank 39Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 187.3 ±17.2

578Fairport Robotics

Season APEX 77Event APEX 16.38Rank 45Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

378The Circuit Stompers

Provisional

Season APEX 40.9Event APEX 21.62Rank 52Record 1-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

639Code Red Robotics

Season APEX 69.4Event APEX 9.7Rank 43Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 325, 424, 3799

/ 100 compat

Projected

207.7 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 325, 424, 3799

Auto

20.4 10%

Teleop

142.6 71%

Endgame

38.7 19%

Strengths

· 424 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 578, 378, 639

/ 100 compat

Projected

47.7 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 578, 378, 639

Auto

11.9 26%

Teleop

3.5 8%

Endgame

30.7 67%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.37 · Blue 0.72

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score207.7pts

Blue projected score47.7pts

Red win probability88%

Event bonus sample198alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 160
Score range: 24–232
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 316 vs event baseline 133.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

401.1Season APEX187.3

20.4Auto11.9

142.6Teleop3.5

38.7Endgame30.7

27Consistency56

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	39	15
teleop	141	28
endgame	60	23
foul	10	0
total	250	66

Result

Final score

250 – 66

Prediction correct · off by 30.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.