Qualification · Qualification 53

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

49.38 – 110.15

32%68%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

37 – 179

Prediction correct · off by 40.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 193.5 ±16.8

7903Tigers

Season APEX 38.8Event APEX 7.25Rank 53Record 1-8-0Status establishedConfidence 88

564Longwood RoboLions

Season APEX 64.9Event APEX 7.25Rank 44Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 88

3951SUITS

Season APEX 89.8Event APEX 34.88Rank 15Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 77

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 576.2 ±13.9

1591Greece Gladiators

Season APEX 206.6Event APEX 45.08Rank 30Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 94

2340Mercy Robotics-Xcentrics

Season APEX 199.9Event APEX 83.06Rank 17Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 89

353POBots

Season APEX 169.7Event APEX -17.99Rank 16Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7903, 564, 3951

/ 100 compat

Projected

49.4 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 7903, 564, 3951

Auto

13.6 30%

Teleop

20.0 44%

Endgame

12.1 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1591, 2340, 353

/ 100 compat

Projected

110.2 pts

~2.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 1591, 2340, 353

Auto

14.5 14%

Teleop

62.2 59%

Endgame

29.0 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.14 · Blue 1.99

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score49.4pts

Blue projected score110.2pts

Red win probability32%

Event bonus sample198alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -60.8
Score range: 25–134
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-17
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 216 vs event baseline 134.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

193.5Season APEX576.2

13.6Auto14.5

20Teleop62.2

12.1Endgame29

63Consistency91

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	32
teleop	12	111
endgame	0	36
foul	0	0
total	37	179

Result

Final score

37 – 179

Prediction correct · off by 40.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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