Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

48.41 – 243.78

8%92%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

95 – 175

Prediction correct · off by 57.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 492.2 ±14.5

144Operation Orange

Season APEX 112.7Event APEX -3.93Rank 42Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 88

20The Rocketeers

Season APEX 120.3Event APEX 21.62Rank 40Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 92

3044Team 0xBE4

Season APEX 259.2Event APEX 30.72Rank 5Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 591.7 ±9.8

1787The Flying Circuits

Season APEX 209.9Event APEX 103.18Rank 3Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10922Amped

Season APEX 161.2Event APEX 61.05Rank 35Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

48Team E.L.I.T.E.

Season APEX 220.6Event APEX 79.55Rank 20Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 144, 20, 3044

/ 100 compat

Projected

48.4 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 144, 20, 3044

Auto

27.5 58%

Teleop

12.8 27%

Endgame

7.3 15%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1787, 10922, 48

/ 100 compat

Projected

243.8 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 1787, 10922, 48

Auto

53.1 22%

Teleop

148.0 61%

Endgame

43.1 18%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.71 · Blue 2.3

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score48.4pts

Blue projected score243.8pts

Red win probability8%

Event bonus sample198alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -195.4
Score range: 24–268
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 270 vs event baseline 130.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

492.2Season APEX591.7

27.5Auto53.1

12.8Teleop148

7.3Endgame43.1

25Consistency73

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	45
teleop	44	71
endgame	41	59
foul	0	0
total	95	175

Result

Final score

95 – 175

Prediction correct · off by 57.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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