Qualification · Qualification 31
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
171.13 – 121.11
65%35%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
61 – 133
Prediction missed · off by 61 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 309.6 ±15
Season APEX 121.9Event APEX 55.36Rank 13Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 89
Season APEX 69.4Event APEX 37.27Rank 43Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94
Season APEX 118.3Event APEX 78.5Rank 41Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 91
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 349.4 ±13.5
Season APEX 74.6Event APEX 10.97Rank 28Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 95
Season APEX 209.9Event APEX 94.3Rank 3Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 64.9Event APEX 15.84Rank 44Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 88
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1559, 639, 191
79
/ 100 compatProjected
171.1 pts
~1.8 RP (regional)
Teams: 1559, 639, 191
Auto
36.0 24%
Teleop
64.6 44%
Endgame
47.7 32%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 46%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9767, 1787, 564
59
/ 100 compatProjected
121.1 pts
~1.2 RP (regional)
Teams: 9767, 1787, 564
Auto
46.6 38%
Teleop
61.7 50%
Endgame
15.8 13%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 46%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.81 · Blue 1.22
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score171.1pts
Blue projected score121.1pts
Red win probability65%
Event bonus sample198alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 46%, blue 48%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 50
- Score range
- 99–193
- Upset likelihood
- 35%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
309.6Season APEX349.4
36Auto46.6
64.6Teleop61.7
47.7Endgame15.8
52Consistency62
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 11 | 20 |
| teleop | 25 | 56 |
| endgame | 20 | 57 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 61 | 133 |
Result
Final score
61 – 133
Prediction missed · off by 61 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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