Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

268.37 – 276.71

47%53%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

385 – 148

Prediction missed · off by 122.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 567.9 ±16.4

1591Greece Gladiators

Season APEX 206.6Event APEX 98.03Rank 5Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94

10223Crimson Jewels

Provisional

Season APEX 96.1Event APEX -13.45Rank 15Record 2-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

340G.R.R. (Greater Rochester Robotics)

Season APEX 265.2Event APEX 183.79Rank 1Record 6-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 486.3 ±17.7

2340Mercy Robotics-Xcentrics

Season APEX 199.9Event APEX 115.77Rank 7Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 89

3799Electric Fire

Provisional

Season APEX 98Event APEX 57.99Rank 10Record 3-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

1405Finney Falcons

Season APEX 188.4Event APEX 102.95Rank 8Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 95

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1591, 10223, 340

/ 100 compat

Projected

268.4 pts

~1.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1591, 10223, 340

Auto

44.0 16%

Teleop

147.0 55%

Endgame

77.1 29%

Strengths

· 340 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2340, 3799, 1405

/ 100 compat

Projected

276.7 pts

~1.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2340, 3799, 1405

Auto

41.6 16%

Teleop

168.8 63%

Endgame

56.3 21%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.51 · Blue 1.7

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score268.4pts

Blue projected score276.7pts

Red win probability47%

Event bonus sample72alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -8.3
Score range: 237–308
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 533 vs event baseline 174.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

567.9Season APEX486.3

44Auto41.6

147Teleop168.8

77.1Endgame56.3

0Consistency10

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	60	17
teleop	236	92
endgame	69	39
foul	20	0
total	385	148

Result

Final score

385 – 148

Prediction missed · off by 122.7 pts